Vigor Carpaneto vs Villabiagio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 3
USD
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
USD
0 - 1
ASD
61%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 1
USD
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
USD
1 - 1
PIA
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COR
2 - 2
USD
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
TUT
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ACS
2 - 1
VIL
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
VIL
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 0
VIL
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |