Vigor Carpaneto vs Sansepolcro Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 1
USD
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
USD
3 - 4
SPO
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IMO
3 - 1
USD
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
USD
0 - 0
MEZ
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 1
USD
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sansepolcro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ACS
2 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASD
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
PIA
26%
26%
49%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |