Vigor Carpaneto vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
52.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 1
USD
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
USD
0 - 0
ADR
60%
20%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
USD
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
USD
2 - 0
ASD
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOD
1 - 0
USD
76%
17%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
MEZ
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
REG
5 - 0
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
LEN
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
ADR
67%
18%
14%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
PER
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |