Vigor Carpaneto vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 2
USD
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
USD
4 - 0
CLA
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 0
USD
26%
22%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
USD
3 - 2
FAN
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
USD
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PER
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
4 - 1
ADR
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FIO
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 1
ASD
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |