Vigor Carpaneto vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 1
USD
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
USD
1 - 1
PIA
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COR
2 - 2
USD
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
USD
2 - 2
RIM
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
USD
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
VIL
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
TUT
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ACS
1 - 0
ASD
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 0
ASD
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 3
ASD
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |