Nerostellati Pratola vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
78.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerostellati Pratola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
REC
2 - 0
USN
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
USN
0 - 0
AVE
8%
16%
76%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
USN
84%
12%
4%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
USN
1 - 3
LAQ
7%
15%
78%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
USN
91%
6%
2%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
VIS
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
ALB
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MAT
13%
24%
63%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 2
ASD
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JES
0 - 3
MAT
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |