Nerostellati Pratola vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerostellati Pratola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
USN
2 - 1
FAB
18%
19%
62%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 0
USN
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
USN
3 - 3
SAN
7%
14%
80%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
USN
1 - 1
MON
8%
16%
77%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
USN
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VIS
2 - 1
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
42%
24%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
JES
0 - 2
CAS
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
PIN
19%
21%
61%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |