Lavello vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
LAV
4 - 2
ROT
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 0
ROT
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SOR
2 - 1
LAV
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 3
FCF
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 1
LAV
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
ASD
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NOC
4 - 1
VIR
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
ASF
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
HYR
1 - 1
VIR
56%
22%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
ASD
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |