Lavello vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BIS
1 - 2
LAV
44%
27%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
4 - 0
HYR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
LAV
36%
23%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
0 - 3
ASF
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
LAV
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 0
PVM
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 0
AUD
32%
25%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 1
VIR
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
BIS
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |