Lavello vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PVM
1 - 2
LAV
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 2
LAV
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 1
AUD
16%
22%
62%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FBC
2 - 0
LAV
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 1
LAV
33%
24%
44%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NOC
0 - 2
ASF
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
3 - 2
NOC
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NOC
2 - 0
MOL
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
NOC
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOC
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |