Casatese vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 0
CAS
39%
24%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
UNI
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAS
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAS
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
USB
1 - 0
OLG
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
USB
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 0
USB
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
USB
3 - 0
UNI
38%
25%
38%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
USB
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |