Casatese vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAS
21%
28%
52%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 2
VIL
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 3
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FAN
2 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MEZ
0 - 1
FAN
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 2
RAV
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
FAN
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 3
COR
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |