Casatese vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
22%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
28%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 4
CAS
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAL
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
VCB
60%
19%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 4
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ADR
0 - 2
PER
16%
21%
64%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CRE
3 - 3
ADR
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ADR
0 - 1
USB
36%
23%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
ADR
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ADR
1 - 5
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |