Casatese vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
VCB
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAS
39%
22%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
NIB
3 - 2
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
SER
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
ADR
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ADR
1 - 3
USP
56%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SER
4 - 4
ADR
53%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 1
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 3
ADR
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |