USC Eugendorf vs UFC Maria Alm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Eugendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
PUC
3 - 2
USC
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
USC
6 - 2
ASK
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
KUC
3 - 2
USC
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
USC
2 - 5
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SCL
1 - 3
USC
18%
21%
62%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
7 - 0
UMA
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
UMA
0 - 4
PUC
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
UMA
1 - 4
ASK
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
UMA
7 - 2
KUC
21%
23%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STR
7 - 0
UMA
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |