USC Cortenais vs Olympique Marseille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
57.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
14º
12º
22
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 44 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
90.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Cortenais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 0
COR
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 0
COR
69%
18%
12%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
COR
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 3
OLY
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 0
COR
64%
19%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 2
AGD
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EUA
1 - 3
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
RSV
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
SFC
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |