Usakspor vs Balikesirspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
9º
4º
6
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 61 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 59 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 57 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 53 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 46 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 46 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 45 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 19 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 19 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8% | 30% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 23.5% |
|
Next round
|
53% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usakspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
USA
4 - 0
ANA
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SEK
1 - 2
USA
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
USA
0 - 5
SAR
13%
22%
65%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 1
USA
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
USA
0 - 4
MEN
9%
17%
74%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Balikesirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
FAT
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
BAL
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
TBP
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
SGS
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |