Usagre vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usagre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CDS
4 - 1
USA
35%
25%
40%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
USA
4 - 1
MON
48%
23%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 2
USA
76%
16%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 1
USA
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
USA
0 - 1
UDF
24%
23%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UCL
0 - 2
ZAF
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UCL
2 - 1
GAR
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
UDF
0 - 0
UCL
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UCL
1 - 1
CPG
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 4
UCL
8%
16%
76%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |