Usagre vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usagre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ZAF
3 - 0
USA
58%
22%
20%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
USA
1 - 1
CPG
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
USA
28%
25%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
UCL
3 - 1
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
USA
1 - 2
CPO
46%
25%
30%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
UCL
3 - 3
CPG
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
EXT
1 - 2
UCL
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
UCL
2 - 0
SPR
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
UCL
3 - 1
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ZAF
0 - 0
UCL
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |