Usagre vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usagre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
SEG
32%
23%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ZAF
3 - 3
USA
58%
23%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
USA
0 - 2
CDE
13%
16%
71%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCL
1 - 0
USA
79%
14%
8%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
SPR
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
ZAF
59%
22%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 0
SMA
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
UCL
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 2
SMA
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
GAR
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |