Usagre vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usagre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ZAF
1 - 3
USA
55%
23%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 0
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
EMD
33%
24%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 0
USA
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
USA
3 - 1
CDS
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 2
CDN
35%
24%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GAR
3 - 2
SMA
57%
20%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 2
CPG
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
SMA
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
CDS
40%
25%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |