USAC vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
VOT
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SER
2 - 5
USA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
USA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
USA
3 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DES
1 - 1
USA
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 0
BAN
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAB
3 - 1
MAT
13%
17%
70%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAT
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAP
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
MAT
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |