USAC vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
USA
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
USA
5 - 2
MAT
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
VOT
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SER
2 - 5
USA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
USA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
1 - 0
BAN
26%
23%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
LEM
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LEM
2 - 2
CAB
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
LEM
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |