US Vibonese Calcio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
42%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
USV
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
39%
29%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
USV
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
USV
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
USV
1 - 0
REG
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
AKR
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
PAG
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
USF
14%
22%
65%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAG
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |