US Vibonese Calcio vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
70.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JUS
3 - 0
USV
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
USV
0 - 1
CAS
17%
25%
59%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 0
USV
71%
20%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
USV
0 - 1
MAT
17%
26%
57%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
USF
3 - 0
USV
83%
13%
5%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
REG
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIR
0 - 2
LEC
18%
24%
59%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 3
LEC
15%
23%
63%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |