Triestina vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
TRI
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
TRI
3 - 1
GER
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
REN
1 - 3
TRI
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 2
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 1
TER
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VIC
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
IMO
2 - 1
VIC
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
VIC
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VIC
3 - 2
VIR
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 2
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |