Triestina vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
TRI
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 2
CTT
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
TRI
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 1
SAS
33%
29%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 2
PES
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FRO
4 - 0
VIC
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 2
CRO
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PAD
4 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |