Triestina vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1947 |
ACM
3 - 0
TRI
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
LIV
3 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAM
32%
24%
45%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 2
TRI
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
VIC
1 - 2
LAZ
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIC
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
MOD
1 - 0
VIC
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
VIC
1 - 5
SAM
42%
22%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
VIC
0 - 3
TOR
18%
22%
61%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |