Triestina vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
TRI
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
FMO
45%
24%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DCA
2 - 1
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIR
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GIO
1 - 3
TRI
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
VNZ
4 - 0
GIO
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
URF
3 - 3
VNZ
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VNZ
4 - 1
BEL
75%
16%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ACE
0 - 1
VNZ
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VNZ
5 - 1
FON
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |