Triestina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
TRI
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
TRI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASS
54%
27%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAR
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
USA
1 - 1
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
USF
2 - 1
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
COM
3 - 1
USF
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
USF
2 - 1
MES
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
REG
5 - 3
USF
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |