Triestina vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ACM
1 - 0
TRI
81%
15%
5%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
LIC
0 - 1
TRI
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
TRI
1 - 0
LIC
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
COS
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
CAG
1 - 1
TRI
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
CES
4 - 3
USC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MAN
0 - 0
USC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
USC
2 - 0
MAN
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
USC
0 - 3
SAM
20%
29%
51%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BAR
2 - 0
USC
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |