Triestina vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRI
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CAG
1 - 0
TRI
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
TRI
2 - 1
SOR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ASC
3 - 1
TRI
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TRI
0 - 1
TRE
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 3
LIV
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 1
REG
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
AVE
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
AVE
2 - 2
TRI
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |