Triestina vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
6.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
REG
3 - 0
TRI
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 1
TRI
66%
23%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
TRI
0 - 3
USF
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
TRI
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
TRI
2 - 1
LIC
48%
28%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
AVE
0 - 3
PIS
44%
32%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
USF
1 - 2
AVE
23%
32%
45%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 0
LIC
51%
29%
21%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
MES
2 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
AVE
2 - 0
CAG
64%
25%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |