Triestina vs Union Ripa Fenadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
TRI
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 0
BEL
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ACE
0 - 0
TRI
77%
16%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
FON
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MES
5 - 0
TRI
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Union Ripa Fenadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
URF
3 - 5
GIO
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
URF
1 - 1
ACE
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
3 - 3
URF
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
URF
1 - 1
MES
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
URF
3 - 1
LEV
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |