Triestina vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
VNZ
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 0
TRI
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TRI
0 - 0
CAT
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 1
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 2
MOD
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 1
TRE
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 2
TRE
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TRE
0 - 3
ATL
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 1
TRE
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |