Triestina vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TRI
88%
10%
3%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
TRI
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
BEN
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
GER
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
SES
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
USC
3 - 2
TRE
86%
11%
3%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 1
TRE
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
ATA
3 - 1
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
REN
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |