Triestina vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
TRI
21%
26%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 2
ACP
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 1
TRI
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 1
TRA
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 3
TRI
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
BV5
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
VIR
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
SIR
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
VIR
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |