Triestina vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRI
35%
29%
37%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 0
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
TRI
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
ACL
0 - 0
TRI
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
TRI
0 - 1
PAD
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
SPA
3 - 1
REG
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SPE
4 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 1
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPA
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 2
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |