Triestina vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
LAZ
5 - 1
TRI
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
TRI
3 - 2
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
SAM
2 - 1
TRI
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
TRI
1 - 1
FIO
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
TOR
1 - 1
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
SPA
0 - 1
PAL
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
FIO
1 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
SPA
0 - 1
LAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
JUV
3 - 1
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPA
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |