Triestina vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FMO
2 - 1
TRI
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TRI
0 - 0
DCA
72%
16%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 4
TRI
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
TRI
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 2
GIO
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACE
19%
23%
57%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MES
4 - 1
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
BEL
24%
24%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LEV
2 - 2
SAN
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
FON
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |