Triestina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
UDI
0 - 1
TRI
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 2
NAP
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ROM
0 - 2
TOR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
LAZ
0 - 3
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 2
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
UDI
2 - 2
ROM
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 1
PAL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |