Triestina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 1
COM
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
TRI
59%
21%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
TRI
2 - 2
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
JUV
3 - 0
TRI
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 1
TOR
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
PAL
3 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
29%
24%
48%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ROM
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 1
BOL
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |