Triestina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
GEN
0 - 0
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
TRI
3 - 0
JUV
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
TRI
1 - 0
NAP
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ROM
0 - 0
VNZ
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 2
ROM
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
ROM
2 - 0
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
GEN
2 - 0
ROM
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |