Triestina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
INT
5 - 1
TRI
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
TRI
3 - 1
ACL
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
3 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
TRI
0 - 0
VNZ
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 6
TRI
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ROM
4 - 2
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 0
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 2
ROM
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |