Triestina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 1
ASL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
TOR
1 - 0
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ASL
1 - 0
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 2
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ACL
3 - 2
ROM
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
INT
1 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |