Triestina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
NAP
2 - 0
TRI
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
BOL
5 - 0
TRI
77%
14%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
ACM
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 0
TRI
47%
22%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
ROM
4 - 0
ACM
62%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 1
ROM
17%
20%
63%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ROM
2 - 0
LEO
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
INT
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
ROM
1 - 0
USA
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |