Triestina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
NAP
4 - 2
TRI
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
TRI
1 - 1
GEN
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
LAZ
1 - 0
TRI
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
UNI
1 - 1
TRI
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
TRI
3 - 1
LEO
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
ROM
4 - 2
MOD
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
BRE
3 - 2
ROM
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
ACM
0 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
ROM
5 - 0
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
UNI
0 - 0
ROM
7%
13%
80%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |