Triestina vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ASS
2 - 2
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
TRI
1 - 1
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 2
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
TRI
2 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
PRO
2 - 0
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
PRO
1 - 2
SAM
41%
24%
36%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
COS
2 - 1
PRO
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
PRO
0 - 1
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
PRO
2 - 0
USA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |