Triestina vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 0
TRI
76%
15%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
TRI
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
TRI
0 - 0
SSS
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
TRI
1 - 0
FCC
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
PRO
52%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
PRO
3 - 1
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 0
NOV
59%
22%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRO
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 1
ASS
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |