Triestina vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
RIM
4 - 3
TRI
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TRI
3 - 1
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 2
TRI
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
TRI
2 - 4
ABN
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
PIA
1 - 3
ABN
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MES
2 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
PIA
1 - 1
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 0
PIA
28%
27%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
PIA
1 - 2
FRO
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |